Francois Maritz

Jul 23, 20201 min

Clem Sunter se vlaggies om dop te hou vir die toekoms

Introducing a scenario of hope changes the future.

  1. Scenario Planning
     

  2. Mind of the fox
     

  3. One future: hedgehog

  4. Many futures: fox

  5. Flag watching
     

  6. Religion flag
     

  7. Religious wars between Saudi and Iran

  8. Red flag
     

  9. Russia

  10. China

  11. North Korea

  12. Grey flag
     

  13. Ageing population
     

  14. Japan

  15. UK

  16. China

  17. Cloudy flag
     

  18. Anti-establishment sentiment because of rising inequality in society

  19. Green flag
     

  20. Ecological concerns

  21. Pandemic flag
     

  22. Much to do about

  23. Camels straw
     

  24. The world was in a fragile state before the pandemic hit
     

  25. China’s growth slowing down

  26. Easy money policy with low interest rates which led to massive governmental and consumer debt.

  27. Economy breaks the camels back

  28. Length of economic recovery is important
     

  29. Watch the statistics
     

  30. GDP

  31. Inflation

  32. Level of employment

  33. Not a “V” but a “U” curve

  34. Spain again
     

  35. Second wave of outbreak?

  36. Much uncertainty about virus

  37. Uncertainty about fatality rate

  38. Uncertainty about infection rate

  39. Uncertainty about cure/vaccine

  40. Tightrope
     

  41. A balance between lives and livelihood

  42. A balance between lives and economy

  43. Walk the tightrope until covid-19 has a vaccine or goes away

  44. South African scenario playing out

  45. “May the fox be with you.” – Clem Sunter

  46. Is there any way to get away from “the rich get richer” scenario?
     

  47. WW2 did wreck the wealthy 50’s 60’s 70’s was a time of global growth for all.

  48. It is possible after the pandemic is over when we move to a global inclusive economy.

  49. Siyabulela Xuza

  50. The world of work has changed. The power does not lie in big government or organisations. Adapt to small businesses as the way of the future. Small businesses are going to transform the South African economy.

#clemsunter #coronavirus #flagwatching #mindofthefox #covid19

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